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The Next Israel-Lebanon War

כ״א באלול ה׳תש״ע (Tuesday 31 August 2010)

When I wrote recently about the upcoming Israel-Iran War, I predicted that “Israel will provoke a war with Hezballah in 2010 to defeat them and to deplete their arsenal in the context of a conventional war.” Now I see Haaretz is agreeing that Israel might be planning to attack Hezballah preemptively. The article mentions the [...]

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The Coming Shalit Deal

ו׳ בכסלו ה׳תש״ע (Monday 23 November 2009)

A deal to free Gilad Shalit is imminent. Or it isn’t. It’s impossible to tell from any article like this one. In general, reports that a deal is imminent are usually manufactured by one side, namely by one side’s negotiating team, to pressure the other side into restarting negotiations. They may also be planted in [...]

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